Thursday, April 25, 2013

The mathematics of juries: The jury size and voting margins necessary for a fair trial. - Slate Magazine

The mathematics of juries: The jury size and voting margins necessary for a fair trial. - Slate Magazine: "The Marquis de Condorcet, a French philosopher and mathematician, was perhaps the first person to subject juries to mathematical analysis. In 1785, he proved a theorem that could be succinctly summarized, ‘More is better.’ Assuming that all the members of a jury have a better than 50 percent chance of determining the true innocence or guilt of the accused—a big assumption but a common one in mathematical studies of juries—larger juries are more likely to decide correctly than smaller ones."

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